
The SEC Championship picture won't officially come into focus until rivalry weekend wraps, but after Week 12 the race is down to four teams - Georgia, Alabama, Ole Miss and Texas A&M - with the Texas Longhorns still looming as a decisive swing factor in how it all ends.
Georgia is the only team finished with SEC play after its win Saturday night, but the Bulldogs still need help to reach Atlanta.
The SEC's only unbeaten, No. 3 Texas A&M, sits one win away from locking in the program's first-ever SEC Championship berth.
Alabama still appears to control its destiny, but a three-team tie could complicate everything and even leave the Crimson Tide at home. Meanwhile, Ole Miss remains a mathematical long shot requiring chaos, but they’re technically still alive.
For Texas fans, the path is jagged ... but it exists.
The Longhorns may be out of the running themselves, yet their rivalry clash with Texas A&M looms as one of the defining pieces of the entire SEC Championship puzzle.
A Texas win over the Aggies keeps the door cracked for multiple outcomes, including Georgia sneaking back into the title game or even a scenario where the conference's top two CFP contenders shift dramatically.
The tiebreakers get convoluted quickly.
Even though Alabama beat Georgia in September, the SEC's policy nullifies that head-to-head in a three-way tie that includes Ole Miss because none of the teams played each other and none went 0-2 or 2-0 within that group.
If that happens, strength of schedule becomes the deciding metric, and the results of three remaining SEC games - Florida-Tennessee, Vanderbilt-Kentucky and Arkansas-Missouri - will determine who earns the advantage.
Should Texas A&M advance and ultimately face Alabama, the Aggies would lock in a top-four CFP seed and a first-round bye.
But if A&M loses to Texas and Alabama wins the Iron Bowl, a ripple effect could vault Georgia back into the playoff conversation even without a championship game appearance.
It's a tangled web, but here is the cleanest version of what gets each contender to Atlanta:
Texas A&M reaches SEC Championship if:
• Beat Texas OR • Auburn beats Alabama and Mississippi State beats Ole Miss
Alabama reaches SEC Championship if:
• Beat Auburn and Texas beats Texas A&M OR
• Beat Auburn and Mississippi State beats Ole Miss OR
• Beat Auburn and win a three-way tie with Georgia/Ole Miss based on opponent winning percentage
Georgia reaches SEC Championship if:
• Auburn beats Alabama OR
• Texas beats Texas A&M OR
• Ole Miss beats Mississippi State and Georgia wins a three-team SOS tiebreaker
Ole Miss reaches SEC Championship if:
• Beat Mississippi State and Texas beats Texas A&M and Auburn beats Alabama
For Texas, the mission is simple ... beat Texas A&M and throw the entire SEC into chaos. The Longhorns may not be heading to Atlanta themselves, but they still have the power to swing the title race and the playoff picture in dramatic fashion.
Hope lives in Austin, not for a berth, but for one last chance to shake up the conference and send their rivals spiraling.