

The San Francisco 49ers are back on the road this weekend, taking on the Houston Texans in a matchup that offers plenty of intrigue for fantasy managers and bettors alike. San Francisco sits at 5–2 and remains atop the NFC West after last week’s win over Atlanta, while Houston looks to rebound from a 27–19 Monday night loss to the Seattle Seahawks that exposed some offensive cracks.
All eyes, as always, are on Christian McCaffrey. The 49ers’ workhorse back entered last week with more touches than any player in the NFL and then added nearly 200 scrimmage yards against Atlanta. Houston has struggled to contain versatile running backs in space, which makes McCaffrey an elite RB1 option once again. Expect heavy usage both as a rusher and receiver, especially with San Francisco still managing multiple other offensive injuries.
With the 49ers looking to balance their passing attack, Kendrick Bourne has quietly emerged as a reliable target for Mac Jones. Bourne’s chemistry with Jones has grown quickly, and he’s proven capable of finding soft spots in zone coverage, a valuable skill against a Texans defense that has allowed one of the league’s highest completion percentages on intermediate routes. Bourne profiles as a strong FLEX or WR play this week, particularly in PPR formats.
Tight end Luke Farrell remains an under-the-radar fantasy option. After earning a 90.8 PFF grade last week, Farrell could see more red zone work with the 49ers leaning on two-tight end sets to protect Jones.
For Houston, quarterback C.J. Stroud will try to rebound from one of his toughest outings of the season. The 49ers’ pass rush presents another difficult test, though wide receiver Tank Dell could be a sneaky play in deeper leagues. His speed and quickness out of the slot may be Houston’s best shot at creating explosive plays against a San Francisco secondary.
Spread: 49ers -2.5
Over/Under: 43.5
Moneyline: SF -145 | HOU +125
Oddsmakers expect a close one, but the trends lean heavily toward San Francisco. The 49ers have covered the spread in 10 of their last 13 games as a road favorite, while the Texans have gone 1-6 ATS in their last seven following a loss.
The total is modest for a reason, both defenses are capable of controlling tempo, and injuries could keep scoring limited. The Under has hit in five of Houston’s last six games, and San Francisco has held opponents under 20 points in three of its last four. That should predict another game where the Niners’ defense and offensive balance should take over late.
That balance should be led by Christian McCaffrey, who has scored in 20 of his last 23 games, alongside Kendrick Bourne, whose connection with Jones continues to grow. Houston’s zone-heavy defense should also leave space for mid-range production. With the notion that scoring might be scarce, this game should expect to have long drives and a slower pace on both sides.
This matchup may not light up the scoreboard, but it has the makings of a classic 49ers win. It will be physical, methodical, and built on controlling the clock. If the defense continues to generate turnovers and McCaffrey keeps dictating tempo, San Francisco should head home with another victory.