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    Adam Stark
    Oct 11, 2025, 16:36
    Updated at: Oct 11, 2025, 16:36

    After a strong 9-for-12 run on bold predictions from Weeks 2-4, I took a week off. Now, I’m back with four audacious calls for the Detroit Lions’ clash against the Kansas City Chiefs. This won’t be easy, the Chiefs boast a 28-8 home record since 2021, though the Lions claimed one of those victories. Could Detroit snag another? The Lions face challenges with their top two cornerbacks, Terrion Arnold and DJ Reed, sidelined. Additionally, news broke that Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph are game-time decisions. If both sit, Detroit’s secondary could be severely tested.

    1. Jahmyr Gibbs’ Breakout Rushing Performance

    Jahmyr Gibbs is poised for a takeover. The running back’s talent is undeniable, and he’s due for a massive game. Gibbs has flirted with the 100-yard rushing mark twice this season, posting 91 yards against Cleveland and 94 against Chicago. Over his last four games, he’s averaged 4.9 yards per carry, looking more like the dynamic playmaker fans expect. His lone rush over 25 yards this year was a 42-yard burst against Chicago. The Chiefs’ defense, ranked 21st in rushing yards allowed (123.4 per game), is vulnerable. In Gibbs’ NFL debut against Kansas City at Arrowhead, he managed 42 yards on just seven carries, on pace for 100 yards with a heavier workload. By contrast, David Montgomery had 21 carries for 74 yards in that game. If Gibbs gets 21 carries, projections suggest he could hit 126 yards. I predict Gibbs will eclipse 100 rushing yards for the first time this season.

    2. Jameson Williams Explodes for 80 Yards and a Touchdown

    Jameson Williams has been quiet since his 100-yard, one-touchdown performance against Chicago, perhaps too quiet. Despite lackluster showings in his last three games, the explosive wide receiver is primed for a breakout. Last season, Williams never went more than two consecutive games with under 75 receiving yards; he’d rebound immediately after quiet stretches. Now, with three straight games under 45 yards, he’s overdue. It takes just one deep pass for Williams to change a game. With the Lions-Chiefs point spread set at 52.5, the highest of any Week 5 matchup, Vegas anticipates a high-scoring affair. Given Detroit’s depleted secondary, the Lions will need to keep pace offensively. I predict Williams will haul in at least 80 yards and a touchdown.

    3. Lions’ Offensive Line Allows Zero Sacks

    Don’t be surprised if the Lions’ offensive line keeps Jared Goff upright all game. While pressures on Goff are possible, this unit is primed to dominate. The Lions have played two games this season without allowing a sack, thanks in large part to Penei Sewell, who holds the top two protection grades from Pro Football Focus. However, Taylor Decker’s questionable status could complicate this prediction; if he doesn’t play, the line’s cohesion may falter. The Chiefs’ pass rush is solid but not overwhelming, recording three sacks in two games and two sacks in three others. I expect Detroit’s offensive line to shine in primetime, allowing zero sacks.

    4. Lions Win by Double Digits

    Yes, the Lions are underdogs on the road, but that’s why this is a bold prediction. A double-digit victory would embody the gritty, gutsy spirit of Dan Campbell’s squad. The last time the Chiefs lost by double digits was in the Super Bowl, when the Philadelphia Eagles dominated, 40-22. If my first three predictions hold, Gibbs running wild, Williams erupting, and the offensive line stonewalling Kansas City’s pass rush, a 10-point Lions win is entirely plausible. Such a victory would signal to the NFL that Detroit’s earlier win over the Baltimore Ravens was no fluke and that this team remains a juggernaut. Campbell’s 12-2 primetime record as head coach suggests the Lions thrive under the lights. At the very least, expect Detroit to pull off the upset.

    The Lions face a daunting challenge this Sunday, but a statement win could solidify their status as contenders.