1. Wisconsin's run defense will keep them competitive in the first half
Wisconsin's defense has been stellar against the run this season, ranking first in the Big Ten with just 50 yards allowed per game. Michigan, however, boasts the conference's eighth-best rushing offense, averaging 253.5 yards per game. While conventional wisdom might suggest Michigan will try to run the ball down Wisconsin's throat, the Badgers' front seven, led by players like Ben Barten and Jay'viar Suggs will present a significant challenge. Wisconsin's ability to clog up running lanes and force Michigan into passing situations will limit the damage on the scoreboard and keep the game close through the first two quarters.
2. Bryce Underwood will have a breakout game
Despite Wisconsin's strong run defense, their secondary has shown some vulnerabilities, especially against the pass, ranking 89th in passing yards allowed this season. Michigan freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood has been maturing each week, demonstrating poise and confidence despite some inconsistent numbers. This matchup presents an excellent opportunity for Underwood to showcase his talent and exploit Wisconsin's weakness in pass coverage. Look for him to connect on some big plays downfield and utilize his dual-threat ability to both pass and run, taking advantage of Wisconsin's attempts to stop the interior run game. Expect Underwood to have his most productive game of the season. It would not surprise me if he throws for at least two touchdowns.
3. Michigan's offensive evolution will be on full display
Wisconsin head coach Luke Fickell noted that Michigan's offense is much more capable through the air than they were a season ago, making it impossible to stack the box to stop the run game. While Michigan's rushing attack is potent, ranking 8th nationally, the Wolverines have the opportunity to showcase a more balanced and dynamic offensive attack against Wisconsin. With the Badgers struggling against the pass, Michigan offensive coordinator Chip Lindsey will likely utilize a more diverse play-calling approach, incorporating more passing plays and potentially involving Underwood in designed runs to keep the Wisconsin defense guessing. This game provides the perfect setting for Michigan to demonstrate their offensive versatility, highlighting their growth and potential to evolve beyond a primarily run-heavy scheme. Here are some ways that offensive Coordinator Chip Lindsey may try and open up the play book:
- Diverse Passing Concepts: Expect Michigan to challenge Wisconsin's secondary with a variety of passing plays, including potentially more deep shots to receivers like Donovan McCulley and involving tight ends more in the passing game.
- Utilizing Bryce Underwood's Dual-Threat Abilities: Lindsey may also incorporate more designed runs for Underwood and allow him to make plays with his legs if passing lanes are covered.
- Outside Zone Runs: Drawing from his playbook, Lindsey might utilize outside zone runs, designed to spread out the defense and create lanes for running backs Justice Haynes and Jordan Marshall.
- Play-Action Passing: With a strong running game as a foundation, play-action passing could be particularly effective in setting up big plays against a defense focused on stopping the run.