No chance for a 'negotiated peace' between Ukraine and Russia

Summary:

Former British commander Richard Kemp suggests that peace between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely to come from negotiations and instead will require a military decision with one side emerging victorious.

According to Kemp, both sides are currently too far apart for any diplomatic resolution to be possible.

Putin cannot return to the pre-February 2022 invasion lines, as this would not demonstrate anything substantial gained for Russia, after the losses it has faced in terms of human lives, economic damage, and global isolation.

Ukraine's President Zelensky has been clear that he will not cede to Russian demands or allow Russia to keep any land gained through the conflict.

Kemp believes that Russia will not stop the fighting unless they can secure a significant gain.

The conflict has had a severe impact on Russia's reputation globally and domestically.

According to Kemp, the continued conflict can lead to a further loss of lives and greater economic harm.

Kemp's analysis suggests that the war will likely continue unless one side achieves a decisive military victory or there is significant international intervention

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