The British driver projects a season with Mercedes, McLaren, Red Bull, and Ferrari at similar levels after the first tests, and anticipates that the championship fight could be much more open.

After the first private sessions in Barcelona, Russell noted that Mercedes, as well as McLaren, Red Bull, and Ferrari, showed competitive signs. In that context, he believes there will not be a clear dominance as in other recent periods, but rather a championship where multiple contenders can take turns at the top.

For the Mercedes driver, it is still too early to draw definitive conclusions, but the starting point observed so far leaves a clear impression: the margins seem small, and the technical interpretation of the regulations will be decisive in determining who adapts best to the new era.

Russell explained that the season could resemble historic moments when more than two teams competed directly for the championship. That possibility, from his perspective, raises expectations because it forces constant evolution throughout the year and reduces the chance of a single team quickly pulling away in the standings.

The idea of a strong “top four” is also supported by the ability these teams have to develop their cars over the course of the calendar. Russell emphasized that, in a new regulatory cycle, the key will be how each team manages updates and progress race by race.

In Mercedes’ case, the goal is clear: to fight for titles again. But the Briton understands the competition will be intense, and that it will not be enough to start well, but rather to maintain consistency and adaptability in a context where Ferrari and Red Bull remain benchmarks, and McLaren appears as an established rival.

Russell also highlighted that this possible balance could be positive for the category. A championship with several teams capable of winning forces more open strategies, increases uncertainty, and creates a scenario where every weekend can produce a different result.

Although definitive confirmation will only come on track once the season begins, the Briton’s analysis offers a concrete projection: 2026 could become a year in which four teams arrive with real chances, and where the title fight is not reduced to a single duel.

Thus, Russell anticipates a landscape of close competition, with a championship that could be decided by technical details, constant development, and consistency throughout the calendar.

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