The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off their first American League pennant since 1993.

The Blue Jays advanced all the way to Game 7 of the World Series before ultimately falling by one run in extra innings to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Toronto added to its ranks this offseason by signing starting pitchers Dylan Cease and Cody Ponce, reliever Tyler Rogers and third baseman Kazuma Okamoto.

In the same breath, the Blue Jays saw several departures in the form of shortstop Bo Bichette and high-leverage reliever Seranthony Dominguez and lost out on their top free agent target, outfielder Kyle Tucker, to the Toronto Blue Jays.

Overall, the Blue Jays are still well-positioned to replicate the same success in 2026 they did in 2025 in a wide-open American League. But apparently, several teams are favored to have better regular seasons according to recent numbers released by a popular betting site.

According to projected win-loss over/under totals from FanDuel, Toronto has an over/under total of 88 1/2 wins for 2026. That number is tied for seventh in the major leagues and third in the American League.

The best over/under total in the majors belongs to the back-to-back World Series champions and the team that beat the Blue Jays in the '25 Series, the Dodgers.

Interestingly, the team with the best odds in the AL that belongs to Toronto's American League East rivals, the New York Yankees (92 1/2).

The four-win difference between the Yankees and Blue Jays is the largest for the top four-projected teams in the AL East. The Boston Red Sox are one win behind the Blue Jays in the projections (87 1/2) and the Baltimore Orioles, who made several additions of their own this offseason, are projected to finish fourth in the division at 85 1/2 win. The Tampa Bay Rays are projected to finish last at 76 1/2 wins.

Toronto's placement is interesting considering where the club and New York finished the year.

The Blue Jays won the AL East title and beat the Yankees in the AL Wild Card series. This offseason, Toronto has made the aforementioned additions. New York's biggest addition was acquiring starting pitcher Ryan Weathers in a trade with the Miami Marlins and re-signing outfielder Cody Bellinger to a five-year contract.

The AL East will likely be one of, if not the most competitive division in the major leagues this year and, if the over-under totals come to pass, it might just be a small amount of games separating a trip to the playoffs and watching October baseball from home.

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