Seattle Mariners free agent Josh Naylor was predicted to get a six-year deal worth $120 million by Baseball America in an estimation that came out on Monday morning.

For many, Naylor is the key to the M's offseason, though those contract terms come as a shock to fans who have expected him to get a three or four-year deal.

Naylor, 28, spent the year with the Arizona Diamondbacks before getting traded to Seattle in July. He hit .295 for the year with 20 homers, 92 RBIs and 30 stolen bases. He posted a 128 OPS+ and an .816 OPS while also playing solid defense at first base.

Naylor was an integral part of the Mariners run to the American League Championship Series this year, as hit hit nine homers over 54 games with the M's. He also stole a ridiculous 19 bases in that time, displaying a great baseball intel and a clubhouse leadership. He also comes with a toughness and an attitude that the Mariners had lacked at times previously.

Well, he's only 28 years old. Secondly, he's not a player that's solely predicted on speed or baserunning, though he is good at them. Any concerns about his body type can be tamped down by the notion that he'll be able to hit at any age, and if ever slows down and can't play first base, then he can be a designated hitter.

Furthermore, it only takes one team to up the price or the year total, and if a team is desperate enough, then anything is on the table. The New York Mets, with the deepest pockets in the sport, need a first baseman, which could be enough to jack up the price to this level.

Spotrac has his value at four years and $60 million. Jim Bowden of The Athletic recently predicted him to get four years and $90 million. Are we really going to see the deal go far above those valuations?

Furthermore, while Naylor's baserunning contributions in 2025 were awesome, they can't be expected every year. Is a player who is mostly bat-first really worth going that far over for?

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