
The Mariners were held to just one run again on Monday in a 2-1 loss against the Texas Rangers. What is going on?
The Seattle Mariners enter play on Tuesday night against the Texas Rangers at 4-7 on the young season. While the pitching has been generally solid, the offense has been a nightmare.
The Mariners were beaten 2-1 on Monday night, marking the sixth time in the last seven games that they've scored three runs or less. They own a league-worst .188 batting average at this point and they are 24th in on-base percentage at .292. They've actually taken the sixth-most walks in baseball, but haven't been able to capitalize on it at all, and they've struck out the second-most times in baseball at 111.
So, those numbers are bad enough, but what else is hampering this team? Let's take a quick look.
Bat speed and hard-hit rate
Mike Petriello of MLB.com didn't do a deep dive on this, but he did point out the Baseball Savant findings: As of now, the Mariners have the steepest drop in hard-hit rate of any team from 2025-26. They've seen their hard-hit crater by 8.5 percent.
So, they are striking out too much, and when they are hitting it, it's not being hit with any kind of authority, at least consistently.
The middle of the order
This is well documented, so I won't spend too much time on it, but Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodriguez and Josh Naylor are all hitting under .150. Rodriguez doesn't have an extra-base hit yet. You are not going to win games like that. All three are their stars. All three are on big-money deals. All three need to produce. It's that simple.
Power, or lack thereof
The Mariners have 10 home runs this season, which is tied for 10th in baseball, but that doesn't tell the full story. Four of those home runs came on Opening night against Cleveland, so they have only six in the remaining 10 games. And yes, we know that Jo Adell took away three of them this past Saturday.
That said, the M's have hit all of two home runs since Sunday, March 29. Cole Young hit a three-run homer on Sunday, April 5 and Raleigh hit a solo shot on April 6.
I explained more on the 'Refuse to Lose' podcast:
"Two home runs in the span of nine games. That's not going to work. I'm in favor of not being power dependent, but you know what the problem is? When you are not able to hit home runs, you better be able to scratch some runs across other ways, and the M's aren't doing that either. They're not getting enough traffic consistently to score runs other ways, right? You want them to put the ball in play and run and steal bags and hit and run and, and do this. They are not getting enough people on base to do that stuff, and when they are, they're coming up short. If you're not gonna be a team that homers, you better be able to sustain rallies in other ways, and they're not doing that either. So the offense has completely dried up."
The Mariners will try to right the ship on Tuesday night (5:05 p.m. PT) against the Texas Rangers. Nathan Eovaldi pitches against George Kirby.
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