It is safe to say the Baltimore Orioles benefitted from having Trevor Rogers in the starting rotation during the 2025 campaign. While the season was an overall disappointment for an O's ball club that entered the year with high expectations, Rogers -- despite being limited to just 18 starts -- was tremendous. He pitched to a 1.81 ERA across 109.2 innings of work while striking out 103 hitters. In fact, he was so good that he even finished ninth in American League Cy Young voting despite not even starting 20 contests. 

Rogers, however, has been inconsistent throughout his time in the big leagues. Injuries have also impacted him. When healthy, the southpaw has endured his share of ups and downs on the mound, so which version of Rogers will the Orioles get in 2026?

Rogers, now a 28-year-old with multiple years of big league experience, made his MLB debut back in 2020 with the Miami Marlins. He started seven games during the shortened 60-game season, turning in a forgettable 6.11 ERA.

He bounced back in an attention-grabbing manner during the '21 campaign, pitching to a stellar 2.64 ERA in 25 outings. He struck out a career-high 157 hitters as well. 2021 technically represented his rookie season, and he finished second in National League Rookie of the Year voting.

It seemed as if the Marlins had a budding star in their rotation. 2022 told a completely different story, though, as Rogers finished the year with an underwhelming 5.47 ERA. He never found a rhythm and it led to a frustrating season.

Rogers was limited to a total of four games pitched in 2023. In 2024, he made 21 starts for Miami and underperformed once again as evidenced by his 4.53 ERA. The Marlins ultimately moved him ahead of the trade deadline, as he was acquired by the Orioles in a deal. 

Things didn't go much better for Rogers with Baltimore, as he recorded a 7.11 ERA in four starts. In 2025, however, Rogers looked like the pitcher he was going to become following his strong rookie season back in 2021. 

The left-handed pitcher's 1.81 ERA was a career-best mark. Rogers' 24.1 percent strikeout rate was his best mark since the aforementioned '21 season, while his 6.9 percent walk rate was a career-best.

MLB experts have been burned by Trevor Rogers before, though. Is this really who he is, or was 2025 just another good year in a career full of up and down seasons?

Well, his underlying numbers certainly suggest he's capable of performing at a high level once again. His pitching run value ranked in the 97th percentile in 2025 according to Baseball Savant. While Rogers' whiff percentage was about league average, he was in the 70th percentile for chase percentage.

Rogers needs to do a better job of limiting hard contact, but his ability to get hitters to chase out of the zone is encouraging. As long as he doesn't always live in the strike zone, there is reason to believe that Rogers can enjoy another productive season.