
The Memphis Grizzlies no longer have a realistic path forward this season — so they should stop pretending they do.
At 21-33, Memphis owns the league’s eighth-worst record and sits 4.5 games out of the play-in picture. With mounting injuries, roster uncertainty, and long-term questions surrounding the franchise’s direction, the most logical course of action is clear: lean into the losses and position the organization for the 2026 NBA Draft.
That conversation may be uncomfortable. Tanking has become a flashpoint topic across the league, and Commissioner Adam Silver has signaled potential measures to curb the practice in future seasons. But if structural changes are coming, that only increases the urgency for teams stuck in limbo to act decisively now.
For Memphis, the decisive move is to prioritize draft position.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope’s season-ending injury only furthers that reality. While he has not delivered elite production offensively — shooting 31.6% from three-point range, well below his 36.5% career average — he has remained one of the Grizzlies’ more dependable perimeter defenders. Logging 21.3 minutes per game, Caldwell-Pope filled a defined rotation role and provided veteran structure on the wing.
Now he’s gone.
The loss of a steady two-way contributor may not drastically alter the ceiling of a 21-33 team, but it removes another stabilizing presence from an already unsettled roster. Memphis was not trending toward a postseason breakthrough before the injury. Without him, the margin narrows even further.
Still, the argument extends well beyond Caldwell-Pope.
This franchise is staring at a transitional moment. Ja Morant’s future remains clouded, and after moving on from Jaren Jackson Jr., the Grizzlies have signaled a willingness to reset foundational pieces. That leaves Memphis closer to a blank slate than a contender in waiting.
If that is the case, maximizing draft equity becomes paramount.
The 2026 draft class is widely viewed as one of the strongest in recent memory. For a team without clearly defined long-term cornerstones, that matters. Memphis should not be drafting for fit. It should be drafting for talent — regardless of positional overlap or stylistic redundancy.
Cedric Coward represents the type of archetype that can plug into virtually any roster build. His multipositional versatility and three-and-D profile make him scalable alongside stars or developmental prospects alike. Players with that mold rarely create roster tension.
Others may require more careful projection. Zach Edey, for example, presents questions about long-term durability and schematic flexibility. Pairing him with a prospect like Cameron Boozer could introduce mobility concerns defensively. Yet those concerns should not supersede talent evaluation.
If Boozer is the best player available, Memphis cannot afford to pass.
The organization’s priority should be simple: secure the highest draft slot possible and take the best player on the board. Worry about roster balance later.
At 21-33 and drifting further from postseason relevance, chasing marginal wins serves little purpose. The Grizzlies are 4.5 games out of the play-in and trending in the wrong direction. A late push toward mediocrity would only compromise lottery positioning without materially altering the franchise’s trajectory.
The season’s competitive window has closed. The developmental window has opened.
Whether it frustrates the league office or not, Memphis’ clearest path forward runs through the lottery.