Rockets vs Warriors Odds and Why Houston Ends the Streak Tonight

The Houston Rockets are 6.5-point favorites tonight against a Golden State Warriors team riding an eight-game winning streak. Golden State is also walking into Toyota Center with a backcourt held together by Stephen Curry and not much else.

I'm taking Houston at minus 6.5. The Warriors are short on guards and starting a five-game road trip, and the Rockets have been a different animal at home. My final score is Rockets 117, Warriors 107.

Odds are current as of 7:30 p.m. CT on Wednesday, Nov. 11, and subject to change before tipoff.

DraftKings: Moneyline Rockets -249, Warriors +205. Spread Rockets -6.5 (-115), Warriors +6.5 (-106)

FanDuel: Moneyline Rockets -250, Warriors +205. Spread Rockets -6.5 (-112), Warriors +6.5 (-108)

BetMGM: Moneyline Rockets -250, Warriors +200. Spread Rockets -6.5 (-105), Warriors +6.5 (-105)

Caesars: Moneyline Rockets -250, Warriors +205. Spread Rockets -6.5 (-115), Warriors +6.5 (-105)

Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. CT at Toyota Center in Houston.

TV: ESPN nationally, plus Space City Home Network and SCHN+ in Houston.

Golden State's injury list is the first reason I like Houston. Gary Payton II and Brandon Williams are both out, Will Richard is probable while playing through a torn ligament in his thumb, and Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porziņģis are all still out. The list has only gotten longer since Tuesday night's injury report, and Curry, Brandin Podziemski and De'Anthony Melton are left carrying the guard minutes.

The streak deserves an asterisk, too. Golden State opened the season 0-3, and the last six wins came during a perfect homestand that ended with a 138-87 beatdown of New Orleans on Monday. Tonight, they finally have to pack a suitcase.

Toyota Center tells a different story for Houston. The Rockets are 5-1 at home, and all five of those wins came by double digits, including a 21-point win over Oklahoma City and a 16-point win over Boston. That's comfortably more than 6.5 every time.

Curry is the one guy who can blow this up. He's averaging 30.6 points and hitting 4.7 threes a game at a 45.7-percent clip. Houston has held opponents to a 31.3-percent clip from deep, so something has to give, and I trust Amen Thompson and Marcus Smart to make him work for everything.

Here's the risk. Clint Capela and Steven Adams are still out, so Alperen Şengün is the only true center, and the lone home loss came when Minnesota beat Houston by 10 as 7.5-point favorites. If Curry gets hot early, this gets tight.

I'll still ride the home team. Houston's defense at Toyota Center has been suffocating, and I'm betting it ends Golden State's streak, 117-107.

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