Ty Simpson's elite arm talent and Josh Allen-esque upside are drawing significant NFL Draft buzz, potentially leading to a first-round steal.
Sometimes when it comes to the NFL Draft, teams outsmart themselves. They overanalyze, overpick, and end up passing on a guy who was right in front of them the whole time. And if Beanie Wells is right, that could easily happen with Ty Simpson, and it would be a mistake.
When you hear someone say, “the NFL would be crazy to let him get out of the first round,” that’s not just hype. That’s someone recognizing raw ability and long-term potential. And with Simpson, that potential is real. He’s not just another college quarterback coming out of a big program like Alabama Crimson Tide, he’s a guy with tools you simply can’t teach.
First off, the arm talent jumps out immediately. Simpson has that kind of arm that makes throws look effortless. Deep balls, tight windows, off-platform throws, it’s all there. You can’t coach that kind of natural ability. It’s something you either have or you don’t, and Simpson has plenty of it. That alone is going to have NFL scouts paying attention.
But what really makes this conversation interesting is the comparison to Josh Allen. That’s not a casual comparison. Allen came into the league as a high-upside quarterback with a big arm, some raw edges, and questions about consistency. Fast forward a few years, and he’s one of the most dangerous quarterbacks in the entire NFL.
That’s the blueprint people are starting to see with Simpson.
He may not be a finished product right now, and honestly, most college quarterbacks aren’t—but the ceiling is what separates him. Some guys come into the draft already close to who they’re going to be. Simpson isn’t that. He’s the kind of player who could develop into something much bigger with the right coaching, the right system, and a little patience.
And that’s where teams have to be careful.
If you’re drafting late in the first round and need a quarterback, passing on a guy like Simpson because he’s not “perfect” yet could come back to haunt you. The league has already seen what happens when a quarterback with elite physical tools gets developed the right way. It turns into franchise-changing talent.
At the same time, there’s always risk. Banking on potential doesn’t always work out, and teams know that. But the difference here is that Simpson’s potential isn’t just based on flashes, it’s backed by real, tangible traits that translate to the next level.
At the end of the day, this comes down to how teams view upside versus polish. If you’re looking for a safe pick, maybe you go another direction. But if you’re looking for a quarterback who could eventually take over games, lead a franchise, and become one of the best in the league, then Ty Simpson deserves to be in that first-round conversation.
Because if he falls too far, someone’s going to get a steal, and a lot of teams are going to wish they hadn’t overthought it.