Nov 11, 2026 10:30 PM
Despite a top-tier ranking and home-field advantage, oddsmakers are slighting the Wildcats against the Gators.
There's a strong case to be made that No. 11 Kentucky should be a much larger favorite on Saturday, Nov. 14, against Florida.
The Gators are just 5-4 this season with a less-than-stellar 3-4 record in SEC play.
Sure, both of Kentucky's losses have come in conference, but this is a 7-2 overall team that's only dropped games to then-ranked No. 12 Alabama and No. 13 Tennessee.
After getting blown out at Tennessee this past weekend, one would have to assume that's why Florida is getting so much respect in this upcoming matchup.
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That said, the Gators looked terrible against an unranked Oklahoma team. Remember, Florida has only scored 15 points in its last two games combined, so how in the world do they expect to compete with Kentucky?
Don't sleep on Florida
Even with this game being played at Kroger Field in Lexington, KY, it's impossible not to believe in Florida after what the Gators did earlier this season.
No one can excuse the fact that Florida is just 1-4 in its last five games, but that red-hot 4-0 start brought a convincing narrative around this team.
Florida put up 44 points in a convincing win at Auburn, and then smashed an Ole Miss team that was ranked No. 4.
To say that things got dicey after that would be an understatement. Florida has fallen to Missouri, South Carolina, Georgia, and Oklahoma.
The Gators latest loss to the Sooners was a sight to behold, and that loss proves that Florida is nowhere near the same team everyone once thought it was.
According to ESPN Analytics, Kentucky is only given a 53.8% chance to win this game. That's an incredibly low number for a team that's supposed to be a College Football Playoff hopeful against one that at this point is struggling to become bowl eligible.
The spread will continue to move in the Wildcats favor, as it should. Kentucky's only loss at home this year was when they got blown out by the Crimson Tide, 45-17.
That loss lit a fire under them, though, as the Wildcats won six straight which included wins at No. 9 Texas A&M and vs. No. 10 LSU.
Seeing as they just got crushed by the Volunteers, 34-6, this could be another instance where Kentucky comes out swinging.
Florida doesn't have the same juice it once did, so it feels a bit disrespectful to see Kentucky given such slim odds against the Gators in Week 11.
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