Jul 25, 2026 3:03 PM
Florida State believes it has found the quarterback who can change its trajectory, but outside Tallahassee, plenty of questions remain. Ashton Daniels will enter 2026 with the weight of the program’s expectations on his shoulders, and Mike Norvell’s future.
Florida State's believes in Ashton Daniels even if the Critics aren't convinced.
The Seminole's head coach has gone all in on transfer quarterback Daniels, wasting no time naming him the starting QB right after spring practice concluded. It’s a gamble that very well may decide Florida State's success and either secure Norvell's job or bring his tenure in Tallahassee to an end.
The importance of Daniels being everything Florida State believes him to be cannot be overstated. Whether it’s in college or the NFL, the quarterback position is widely viewed as the most important position on the field.
That is why Florida State's 2026 season may ultimately come down to one question: Who is right about Ashton Daniels?
Will it be Florida State, which believes Daniels can lead the Seminole's back into contention? Or will the national critics be proven right, continuing to question whether Daniels has the skill set needed to bring the program back to relevance?
For Norvell's future, the decision to go with Daniels has to pay off, for the simple reason that there is no more room for excuses and no margin for error. Another losing season and the cries for Norvell’s job will be too loud for Florida State to tolerate.
While others came in for visits, it was Daniel who committed. Norvell identified him as the quarterback who gives the Seminole's their best chance to win and truly believes in his ability to lead the team.
“Ashton Daniels is a guy that can really do it all,” Norvell said. “he's been put in a lot of different situations that he's had to work through. You see somebody that's just continued to grow.”
And it's not just Norvell who believes in Daniels. Florida State's No. 1 wide receiver, Duce Robinson, also believes the Seminole's made the right choice at quarterback.
“He is everything you would want a quarterback to be, in my opinion,” Robinson said. “He is a professional in every sense of the word.”
Outside Tallahassee, however, that confidence isn't shared. Skepticism surrounding Daniels remains widespread, with odds-makers giving the Seminoles +3500 odds to win the ACC, the ninth-best odds in the conference. Those projections suggest the Seminole's are expected to finish in the middle of the league rather than contend for an ACC championship.
While BetMGM has their over/under win total set at 6.5, suggesting that just getting to a bowl game is the ceiling for the Seminole's with Daniels leading them. Josh Pate even went so far as to say he was taking the under because of Daniels.
“Florida State under six and a half is a bet I am on.” Pate Said. “Not a ton of faith in Ashton Daniels at the quarterback position”
Two major national publications are also low on Daniels entering 2026. The Athletic ranked Daniels No. 60 among all 136 projected FBS starting quarterbacks going into the season, with 12 ACC quarterbacks slotted ahead of Florida State's starter. Daniels didn’t even crack On3's preseason quarterback rankings, just another indication that expectations outside Tallahassee are not very high heading into 2026.
Daniels enters the season with a career 60% completion rate and nearly as many interceptions (22) as touchdowns (24), making it easy to see why there are doubts or a lack of confidence surrounding both him and Florida State.
2026 is the defining season of Norvell's tenure at Florida State, and his decision to hand the offense to Daniels could be what determines whether he remains in Tallahassee beyond 2026. If Daniels delivers, Norvell can change the narrative around his program. If he doesn't, Florida State could be searching for a new head coach.
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