Oct 28, 2026 4:15 PM
HawkeyeRoundtable Publisher Brad Schultz shares his game-by-game predictions for the regular season and forecasts where Iowa will stand in the Big Ten and NCAA tournament races.
With Iowa men's basketball's 2026-27 regular season just under a week away, it's time to go for it and predict the entire schedule game-by-game.
Many outlets don't do game-by-game basketball predictions because there's 30+ games to discuss, but in my opinion, the best way to predict a season is to actually go by the game.
And this isn't just any Hawkeye basketball season. While Iowa fans were filled with apathy near the end of the Fran McCaffery era, Ben McCollum re-energized this fanbase with a thrilling Elite Eight run in the spring.
The Hawkeyes lost some key pieces, but they feel they have what it takes to put together a better regular season performance in 2027. Having more size in the frontcourt should help, but there's also plenty of depth at guard, too.
Will it all lead to a fun winter inside Carver-Hawkeye Arena? We'll soon find out.
Here's how I see the 2026-27 season playing out.
*All game times CDT
Nov. 3 vs. Lipscomb
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, IA
Time: 7 p.m. on BTN
Prediction: Iowa wins (1-0)
Nov. 6 vs. Eastern Illinois
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 7:30 p.m. on Big Ten Network
Prediction: Iowa wins (2-0)
Nov. 10 vs. Virginia Tech
Location: Tyson Events Center in Sioux City, IA
Time: 6 p.m. on FS1
Prediction: Iowa wins (3-0)
Nov. 15 vs. Creighton
Location: Casey's Center in Des Moines, IA
Time: 2 p.m. on FS1
Prediction: Iowa wins (4-0)
Nov. 20 @ Xavier
Location: Cintas Center in Cincinnati, OH
Time: 6:30 p.m. on TNT
Prediction: Iowa wins (5-0)
Nov. 24 vs. UMBC
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 6 p.m. on Big Ten Plus
Prediction: Iowa wins (6-0)
Nov. 28 vs. Prairie View A&M
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 1 p.m. on Big Ten Plus
Prediction: Iowa wins (7-0)
Dec. 1 @ Purdue
Location: Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN
Time: 6 p.m. on Peacock
Prediction: Purdue wins (7-1, 0-1)
Dec. 7 vs. Indiana
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 6 p.m. on FS1
Prediction: Iowa wins (8-1, 1-1)
Dec. 10 vs. No. 18 Iowa State
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 6 p.m. on FS1
Prediction: Iowa wins (9-1)
Dec. 13 vs. Western Illinois
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 5 p.m. on BTN
Prediction: Iowa wins (10-1)
Dec. 17 vs. Bethune Cookman
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 8 p.m. on BTN
Prediction: Iowa wins (11-1)
Dec. 21 vs. No. 20 Alabama
Location: Casey's Center in Des Moines, IA
Time: 6 p.m. on Peacock
Prediction: Alabama wins (11-2)
Dec. 29 vs. South Dakota
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 7:30 p.m. on BTN
Prediction: Iowa wins (12-2)
Jan. 2 vs. Ohio State
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 11 a.m. on Peacock
Prediction: Iowa wins (13-2, 2-1)
Jan. 6 vs. Wisconsin
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 7:30 p.m. on FS1
Prediction: Iowa wins (14-2, 3-1)
Jan. 9 vs. Maryland
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 5 p.m.
Prediction: Iowa wins (15-2, 4-1)
Jan. 12 @ Rutgers
Location: Jersey Mikes Arena in Piscataway, NJ
Time: 7:30 p.m. on BTN
Prediction: Iowa wins (16-2, 5-1)
Jan. 16 @ Nebraska
Location: Pinnacle Bank Arena in Lincoln, NE
Time: 7 p.m. on FS1 or FOX
Prediction: Iowa loses (16-3, 5-2)
Jan. 23 vs. Penn State
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 3 p.m. on BTN
Prediction: Iowa wins (17-3, 6-2)
Jan. 26 @ Ohio State
Location: Value City Arena in Columbus, OH
Time: 5 p.m. on FS1
Prediction: Iowa wins (18-3, 7-2)
Jan. 30 vs. Nebraska
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 4 p.m. on Peacock
Prediction: Iowa wins (19-3, 8-2)
Feb. 3 @ USC
Location: Galen Center in Los Angeles, CA
Time: 9:30 p.m. on BTN
Prediction: USC wins (19-4, 8-3)
Feb. 6 @ UCLA
Location: Pauley Pavilion in Los Angeles, CA
Time: 5 or 7 p.m. on FOX
Prediction: UCLA wins (19-5, 8-4)
Feb. 10 vs. Oregon
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 7:30 p.m.
Prediction: Iowa wins (20-5, 9-4)
Feb. 13 @ Northwestern
Location: Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, IL
Time: 1 p.m. on FS1
Prediction: Northwestern wins (20-6, 9-5)
Feb. 16 vs. Michigan State
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 8 p.m. on Peacock
Prediction: Michigan State wins (20-7, 9-6)
Feb. 20 @ Michigan
Location: Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, MI
Time: 12 p.m. on CBS
Prediction: Michigan wins (20-8, 9-7)
Feb. 24 @ Wisconsin
Location: Kohl Center in Madison, WI
Time: 7:30 p.m. on FS1
Prediction: Iowa wins (21-8, 10-7)
Feb. 27 vs. Minnesota
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 1 p.m. on BTN
Prediction: Iowa wins (22-8, 11-7)
March 2 vs. Washington
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Time: 6 p.m. on BTN
Prediction: Iowa wins (23-8, 12-7)
March 6 @ Illinois
Location: State Farm Center in Champaign, IL
Time: 7 p.m. on FOX
Prediction: Illinois wins (23-9, 12-8)
The Rundown
Regular season record: (23-9, 12-8)
NCAA tournament seed: No. 6
So there you have it. It's extremely hard to forecast how any season could play out, but it's especially challenging for basketball because there are so many teams that could emerge out of nowhere in the always-unpredictable Big Ten. Though the Hawkeyes are picked by the national media to finish 10th in the league, it's hard to see this team dipping that low. It's so hard to pick a conference finish, but based off this final record pick, a 12-8 conference mark should have Iowa ending up in the top eight or top seven of the standings.
As for the complete record prediction, remember this: focus on the actual record, not the games I have Iowa losing. I have the Hawkeyes losing just one home game in this scenario (to Michigan State) and they very well could drop more or even steal some games on the road. That's just basketball, folks.
But in all, I think this has the potential to be a very good basketball team. Everyone thinks the loss of Bennett Stirtz will cost Iowa some wins this year, and while the Hawkeyes certainly need to find their go-to scorer, the addition of 7-foot-3 big man Andrew McKeever is going to make a huge difference for this team. Not only should McKeever be an intimidating rim protector, his presence should provide scoring opportunities for driving guards or Cam Manyawau. The Hawkeyes were a true big man away from going to the Final Four last year, and they're going to fare much better in the paint this year because of it.
Will it lead to NCAA tournament success again? It's definitely too early to foresee that, but I think a No. 6 seed is a safe bet for this team because of their schedule. There are marquee games all over the place, especially in the non-conference. The name of the game these days is to keep those metrics as high as possible and that's what McCollum and Co. have done.
It should be a fun winter in Carver-Hawkeye Arena.
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