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    Tim Stephens
    Tim Stephens
    Sep 25, 2025, 01:33
    Updated at: Sep 25, 2025, 01:33
    Ole Miss DL Zxavian Harris (51) reacts after an interception during the third quarter against Georgia State at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Aug. 30, 2025. Petre Thomas / Imagn Images

    OXFORD, Miss. — Saturday’s matchup between No. 11 Ole Miss and No. 4 LSU brings firepower on both sides — but it’s often the hidden stats that tilt rivalry games. Here are five metrics to monitor that could tell the story before the final whistle.

    1. Third down conversion percentage

    • Ole Miss defense: Holding opponents to 30.2%
    • LSU offense: Converting 47.9%
    • This is strength vs. strength — and a potential game-decider. Ole Miss must find ways to get off the field.

    2. Tackles for Loss (TFL)

    • Zxavian Harris: 5.0 TFL (4th in SEC) Disrupting early downs will be critical to containing LSU’s run-pass balance.

    3. Red zone TD rate

    • Ole Miss offense: 13 TDs in 16 red zone trips
    • Efficiency matters in a game where possessions will be limited.

    4. Turnover margin

    • Ole Miss: +4 
    • LSU: Even
    • The Rebels have made opponents pay for mistakes — and will need to again Saturday.

    5. Yards per play allowed

    • Ole Miss defense: 4.7
    • LSU defense: 5.2
    • Ole Miss is quietly more efficient — especially if they can limit explosive gains.