There's been a lot of chatter about what could happen with Drew Allar in the NFL Draft. If one scout talks, it sounds like he could go in the first 20 picks. If another scout talks, it sounds like he's a guaranteed first-rounder.
However, there are some scouts out there who believe that he'll fall to the fourth or fifth round, and it doesn't sound like the craziest thing that could happen.
However, if Allar were to go in the later rounds, assuming that he's the third quarterback taken, we could see something happen that hasn't happened since the 1997 draft. According to Albert Breer, if only Fernando Mendoza and Ty Simpson are drafted in the first three rounds, it would be the first time since 1997.
“There’s a good chance Mendoza and Ty Simpson will be the only quarterbacks taken during the first two days of the draft. That would be the first time only two quarterbacks went in the first three rounds since back-to-back years in the 1990s: It was only Jim Druckenmiller and Jake Plummer in 1997, and Tony Banks and Bobby Hoying the year before that. It also, by the way, sort of makes sense. History tells us that quarterbacks mostly go in the first round or fall through. The evidence is pretty straightforward.
“Since 2000, 77 quarterbacks have been drafted in the first round, 25 in the second round and 35 in the third. It has been over a decade since multiple quarterbacks went in the second round (Derek Carr and Jimmy Garoppolo in 2014). The logic for that is simple. If you think a quarterback can be your full-time starter, you’re probably drafting him in the first round. And if you don’t see a guy that way, you probably won’t take him in the second or third rounds, where full-time starters are probably going to be available to you at other positions,” Breer wrote.
If we're going by history now, there's reason to believe this actually plays in his favor. I highly doubt he falls to the fourth round just going off his tools, but some don't seem to think that's the wrong idea. We'll find out on draft day, but this will be something to watch for.