TCU women’s basketball awaits NCAA Tournament seeding after a 29-5 season, hoping to stay in Fort Worth for regional games.
The TCU women’s basketball NCAA Tournament outlook is coming into focus, but one major question still hangs over the Horned Frogs: Will they land a No. 2 seed or a No. 3 seed?
After a historic 29-5 season and another Big 12 regular-season title, TCU has essentially secured the right to host first- and second-round NCAA Tournament games at Schollmaier Arena.
That alone is a massive advantage as the Horned Frogs prepare for March Madness.
But the bigger storyline now revolves around geography.
If Mark Campbell’s squad earns a No. 2 seed in the Fort Worth regional, TCU could potentially stay within a few miles of campus all the way through the Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight at Dickies Arena. The possibility of playing regional games just down the road is rare in college basketball, and it could be a major competitive edge.
Campbell knows just how valuable that type of environment can be.
“It's a golden opportunity,” Campbell said. “At the same time, you don't want to put pressure on the team. I'm fully aware of how unique that is.”
However, the Horned Frogs’ 62-53 loss to West Virginia in the Big 12 Tournament championship game complicated the bracket outlook.
The Mountaineers captured the league’s automatic NCAA bid and pushed themselves into a higher seed line, while TCU slipped slightly in several projections.
Some bracket forecasts now place the Horned Frogs as a No. 3 seed in the Sacramento region, which would send them across the country earlier than they’d prefer.
Even in that scenario, TCU would still open the tournament at home.
Current projections suggest the Horned Frogs could face No. 14 seed Idaho in the opening round, with potential matchups against No. 6 seed Alabama or the Nebraska/Richmond First Four winner in the second round.
Regardless of the final seed, the Horned Frogs have built one of the strongest résumés in program history.
TCU dominated the Big 12 throughout the regular season, capturing back-to-back conference titles while establishing itself as one of the most balanced teams in the country.
Now the final decision rests with the NCAA Selection Committee, which will reveal the full tournament bracket on March 15.
The Horned Frogs are heading into March with momentum, confidence — and a real chance to make serious noise in the NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.