Powered by Roundtable
Texas Misses on Jadan Baugh as Florida Locks Down Its Star RB for 2026 cover image

Florida's retention of star running back Jadan Baugh highlights the portal's realities. Texas pivots after missing its top target.

Texas went fishing for a headliner in the transfer portal. Florida slammed the door.

Star running back Jadan Baugh announced Tuesday that he's returning to Gainesville for the 2026 season, ending weeks of speculation that linked him heavily to Texas.

For the Longhorns, it's a swing-and-miss at a position that suddenly feels thinner than expected. For Florida, it's a massive retention win in the new era of roster building.

From the Texas side, the interest made perfect sense. With Tre Wisner and others exiting Austin, the Longhorns are staring at an open competition at running back. Add in the presence of former Florida running backs coach Jabbar Juluke, now on the Texas staff, and the dots were easy to connect.

Familiar coach, immediate starting opportunity, and an offense led by Arch Manning? That's a compelling pitch in today’s portal economy.

According to CBS Sports' Richard Johnson, the expectation around the industry was that Baugh would command north of $1 million on the open market. That figure tracks with what we've seen recently.

Elite, proven SEC running backs have become one of the hottest - and fastest-inflating - commodities in the portal, especially with NFL-ready backs increasingly opting to stay another year.

Florida decided early that losing Baugh wasn't an option.

New head coach Jon Sumrall and his staff prioritized keeping the SEC's third-leading rusher from 2025 in-house, and they backed it up with both vision and resources.

Baugh rushed for 1,170 yards and eight touchdowns last season, punctuating his breakout year with a jaw-dropping 266-yard performance against Florida State in the finale. You don’t let that guy walk unless you absolutely have to.

Texas, meanwhile, was offering upside and opportunity. Florida countered with continuity and clarity.

One of the quiet but crucial factors here was the arrival of offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner in Gainesville. Faulkner's 2025 Georgia Tech offense leaned heavily on the run game, finishing among the ACC leaders in rushing attempts and efficiency.

The message to Baugh was simple ... you’re not just staying,  you're the engine. Bringing quarterback Aaron Philo along only reinforced the idea of a ground-first identity in 2026.

From a Longhorns perspective, this outcome stings. But it's also instructive.

This wasn't a failure of effort or ambition for the Longhorns. It was a reminder of how the portal actually works at the top end. When a program decides to retain a star, has alignment between staff, scheme, and NIL backing, and removes uncertainty about role, it's incredibly hard to pry that player loose, even with a blue-blood brand and a quarterback spotlight waiting.

So what now for Texas?

The Longhorns still have options, and likely more than one. This year's portal cycle remains active, and Texas has shown a willingness to pivot quickly when Plan A falls through.

The lesson from the Baugh pursuit isn't panic - it's precision.

If Texas adds a back, expect someone with either high-efficiency production or multi-year eligibility who fits Steve Sarkisian's zone-heavy run concepts.

As for Baugh, Florida fans get their star back. Texas fans get a reminder of the new math of college football.

Sometimes, the hardest recruit isn't the one you chase ... it's the one you try to take away.