Jun 19, 2026 10:00 PM

Texas Tech remains the Big 12 favorite after Brendan Sorsby’s exit, but Houston and Conner Weigman are lurking as a dangerous threat.

Texas Tech football is still the Big 12 team everyone is chasing, but the Red Raiders’ path to another conference title suddenly looks a lot less clean than it did a few months ago.

Brendan Sorsby’s messy departure from Lubbock changed the tone of the Big 12 race.

Texas Tech was sitting as an overwhelming favorite before the quarterback situation exploded, and even after Sorsby left the program and turned toward the NFL Supplemental Draft, the Red Raiders remain the betting favorite to win the league again.

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That says plenty about how much respect Joey McGuire’s program has earned.

It also says the pressure hasn’t gone anywhere.

Texas Tech won the Big 12 last season and rode that breakthrough all the way to the College Football Playoff.

That kind of season changes expectations overnight. The Red Raiders are no longer the fun story trying to crash the party. They’re the program wearing the target.

And now they have to defend the crown without the quarterback who was once expected to headline the next chapter.

That puts the spotlight directly on Will Hammond, who is projected to be the next man up at quarterback. Hammond’s talent is not the issue.

The timing is. He suffered a torn ACL in October, and the biggest question hovering over Texas Tech is whether he’ll be available early in the season and how close to full strength he’ll be when the games start to matter.

That makes the Week 3 Friday night matchup against Houston one of the most fascinating games on the entire Big 12 calendar.

If Texas Tech is going to shut down the idea that the conference race is opening up, that’s the kind of game it needs to win. Early. At home. Under the lights.

Against a rising Texas rival with real momentum.

Houston is not being treated like a cute underdog anymore. The Cougars went 10-3 last season under Willie Fritz, beat LSU 38-35 in the Texas Bowl and now return a dangerous quarterback in former Texas A&M passer Conner Weigman.

Weigman finally found his footing in Houston after a bumpy run in College Station, throwing for 2,705 yards, 25 touchdowns and nine interceptions last season.

He also gets back top receiver Amare Thomas, who caught 67 passes for 966 yards and 12 touchdowns. That connection alone makes the Cougars annoying. Maybe more than annoying.

Houston also has continuity, and in modern college football, that’s gold. The Cougars bring back their head coach, quarterback and both coordinators.

That gives them a stability edge most Big 12 contenders don’t have.

Still, Texas Tech is the favorite for a reason.

The Red Raiders have the championship proof. They’ve already shown they can survive the Big 12 grind, win the biggest games and handle December pressure.

McGuire has built real belief in Lubbock, and the roster still carries enough talent to make another run.

But there’s no sugarcoating it: Sorsby’s exit made things more complicated.

Texas Tech has to answer quarterback questions, absorb everyone’s best shot and prove last season wasn’t a one-year eruption.

BYU, Utah, Kansas State and Houston are all trying to find a path through the chaos, and the Cougars may have the best blend of value, schedule and quarterback play among the challengers.

The Red Raiders don’t need to apologize for being the hunted. They earned that.

But this Big 12 race is no longer a coronation. It’s a fight. And if Texas Tech wants another trophy, the first message has to come fast: the quarterback changed, but the standard didn’t.

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