Oct 9, 2026 11:00 AM
Decades of dominance give way to a seismic shift in the NFC North as Green Bay’s depleted roster and stagnant run game finally hand Chicago the advantage.
In the 21st century, the Green Bay Packers are 38-14 against the Chicago Bears.
Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers definitely had their fair share of wins over Chicago. Rodgers tormented the Bears for years. He went 24-3 against the Bears in 27 meetings.
Jordan Love didn't lose his first game as a starter to the Bears until the 2024 regular-season finale.
For reference, Love has been in the NFL since 2021. He was named the starting quarterback in 2023 after the franchise moved on from Rodgers. This means that Love went 3-0 before Caleb Williams and the Bears handed him his first loss as a starter.
It hasn't been fun to be a Bears fan in this rivalry until recently. Ben Johnson has been a big part of that. He revitalized the rivalry by leading the Bears to two wins against the Packers last season.
The final win of the season over the Packers was by far the most rewarding. Overcoming a 21-3 deficit and eliminating the Packers from the postseason? Priceless.
In most 2000s matchups, it felt like the Packers were the better team more often than not. The Bears have typically come into the matchup as the underdog, which has made beating the Packers even sweeter.
After the damage Johnson did to Packers fans' egos, there's been a seismic shift. Packers fans are starting to realize the rivalry is changing.
A recent broadcast from ESPN Madison really illustrated it. Radio host Kyle Wallace said this was the first time he'd felt like the Packers were the worst team.
"Honestly, I don't know what to take away from it other than the fact that the Packers, we're not a good team this year," Wallace said. "Like, we are the worst team in the NFC North. Chicago Bears coming in on Sunday, and I have not a lot of faith that the Packers are gonna win. This is the first time in years that I'm going into a game against the Bears where I feel like we are the underdog. Even throughout the playoffs, I did not feel that way, but for the first time in a very long time, I honestly feel like the Packers are a worse team than the Chicago Bears."
On paper, this is a very true statement. The Bears are by far the more complete team this time around than the Packers.
The Packers are already without Micah Parsons as he recovers from his season-ending ACL tear late last year.
On top of that, the Packers have no running game.
Josh Jacobs is out of the picture for the near future. Marshawn Lloyd, Chris Brooks and Kaleb Johnson aren't getting the job done.
The Packers average the fewest rushing yards per game at 58.
On defense, the Packers have allowed the 10th-most points per game (26.3). They are also 26th in rushing yards allowed per game (139.3).
Now, looks like at what the Bears come in.
The Bears are once again excelling on the ground. They lead the NFL with 196.3 rushing yards per game.
Chicago is 2-0 in their last two games. That's significant because Williams has been sidelined with a hamstring injury. They have won with Case Keenum and Tyson Bagent under center.
The passing game hasn't really taken a hit with Keenum or Bagent. Keenum threw for 247 passing yards and three total touchdowns in his start. Bagent threw one interception on Sunday but still threw for 268 passing yards.
Chicago is still scoring at a consistent rate, coming into Sunday ranked eighth in points per game (28).
The Bears defense in eighth in sacks (10), third in fewest passing yards allowed (194) and 13th in fewest rushing yards allowed per game (102.5).
This hasn't always been true, but the numbers back this up. The Bears are by far the better team this time around.
It hasn't always been this way, but the Ben Johnson effect is alive and well in the Windy City.
I think we'll truly see how much better the Bears are than the Packers when they meet at Lambeau Field on Sunday at noon CT on Fox.
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