After cashing all three picks last week, the pressure is on to keep the streak alive — and with Detroit stepping into its toughest matchup in weeks, every bet feels like it carries playoff-level weight.
Coming off a perfect 3-0 week, confidence is understandably high. Hitting a clean sweep for the second time this season pushed my overall record to 15-9, and now the challenge grows steeper as the Detroit Lions head west to face the Los Angeles Rams. The matchup brings no shortage of storylines, including another lofty projected point total. For the second straight week, the over/under sits at 54.5, signaling that oddsmakers expect a shootout. With that in mind, I’m rolling out three bets I believe can keep the hot streak alive.
Jameson Williams Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
At this point, I might be addicted to this prop — but when something keeps hitting, there’s no sense in turning away. Last week, I gave out Jameson Williams to clear 83.5 receiving yards. That was before Amon-Ra St. Brown was surprisingly announced as active, which caused Williams’ line to plummet to 61.5. I felt awful initially for releasing the pick early, but Williams quickly proved that he can hit this number regardless of who lines up beside him.
Williams hauled in seven passes for 96 yards against Dallas, leading the team and flashing the playmaking that has made him one of the Lions’ most explosive weapons. When targeted at least four times, Williams has hit this over in six straight games. His chemistry with Jared Goff has never looked sharper, and in a matchup projected to feature heavy scoring, Williams should again have plenty of opportunities.
Even with the Rams’ defense ranking among the better units in the league, the high point total is telling. If this game turns into a track meet, Williams’ speed and expanding route tree give him an excellent chance to soar past 62.5 yards.
Jared Goff Over 253.5 Passing Yards (-114)
This number feels low, especially considering Goff’s recent stretch. You have to go all the way back to before Detroit’s bye week to find the last time he failed to hit this mark. Over his last six games, Goff is averaging 283 passing yards and has surpassed 300 yards in multiple outings.
The Rams present a difficult matchup, but Detroit’s weapons give Goff the tools to overcome that challenge. Beyond St. Brown and Williams, Jahmyr Gibbs continues to be one of the most dangerous dual-threat running backs in the league. Gibbs recorded seven catches for 77 yards last week, playing a major role in pushing Goff over the 300-yard threshold. When your running back can line up in the slot and run receiver-level routes, the offense becomes unpredictable, and nearly impossible to match up with.
The Lions’ secondary is dealing with injuries, which raises the likelihood that Matthew Stafford puts up points of his own. If Detroit finds itself trailing, the running game may fade out quickly. That scenario would only strengthen Goff’s chances of clearing 253.5 for the seventh straight game.
Puka Nacua Over 99.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Betting on opposing players isn’t always ideal, but the Lions’ depleted secondary makes this one too appealing to pass up. Two things can be true: Detroit can win the game, and it can still allow a receiver to eclipse 100 yards.
Last week alone, the Lions allowed two Cowboys receivers to reach the 100-yard mark in a win. They surrendered 94 yards to Dontayvion Wicks in the recent matchup with Green Bay. And earlier this season, they watched Wan’Dale Robinson carve them up for 156 yards.
Enter Puka Nacua, one of the league’s most efficient and physical wideouts. Despite playing only 44 percent of snaps last week, Nacua erupted for 167 yards — his fourth 100-yard game of the season. He has also posted three additional games with at least 91 yards, proving he consistently flirts with this benchmark. With Stafford’s passing yardage prop set around 277 yards, oddsmakers expect him to throw early and often.
Final Thoughts
Last week’s sweep was more lucrative, but if all three bets hit again, a $10 parlay would return roughly $34. With a high total, two potent offenses and star playmakers on both sides, this matchup has all the makings of a yardage-heavy battle. And if you’re feeling aggressive, sprinkling Lions moneyline at +220 isn’t the worst idea.