At just 22 years old, Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Jackson Chourio had a season to remember. 

Chourio's Brewers won the World Series, marking their first in franchise history, and he played a big part in the results because of his strong production all season. 

Chourio earned his first Gold Glove Award and also became a Silver Slugger finalist. Despite all of Chourio's success, he fell just short in the eyes of others, namely ESPN MLB Insider David Schoenfield.

Before the 2026 season began, Schoenfield released bold predictions for each of the 30 Major League Baseball teams as part of ESPN's season preview. 

For the Brewers, Schoenfield predicted that Chourio would have a breakout season and register a .290 batting average with 30 home runs and a 5.0 WAR while making his first All-Star team. 

It was going to be a tall task for Chourio, who had shown great promise during his first two MLB seasons that were defined by 20-plus home runs and 20-plus stolen bases. But certainly not impossible for someone of his talent.

Chourio started behind the eight ball when he began the season on the Injured List due to a left-hand fracture he suffered during the World Baseball Classic. Chourio did not play his first game until May 4, which disqualified him from being an All-Star, and Schoenfield recognized that.

By the end of the regular season, Chourio had appeared in 127 games and taken 522 at-bats, in which he posted a .291 batting average, a .351 on-base percentage, a .487 slugging percentage and an .838 OPS with 25 home runs and 75 RBIs. He also registered a 4.9 WAR. 

Chourio just exceeded Schoenfield's prediction for his batting average but fell just short of the home run total and the predicted WAR. In Schoenfield's view, Chourio is still young enough to make improvements in his areas of weakness.

Schoenfield emphasized these areas of weakness to be walk and strikeout rates. According to Chourio's Baseball Savant profile, his walk rate was in the 37th percentile, and his strikeout rate was in the 38th percentile, both below average.

Chourio's chase rate was even worse, as he scored in the 25th percentile. Schoenfield believes that if he can clean up his swing-and-miss issues, he will be even more productive in 2027, given that he was able to hit the ball harder and in the air more often during the 2026 season.

Overall, Chourio has proven to be a special young talent during his first three years in the majors. It seems that the sky is the limit for him, and perhaps he can reach the marks Schoenfield predicted for him and more in 2027.