Nov 6, 2026 12:00 PM
The Philadelphia Phillies have been hit with a brutal $120 million update.
The Philadelphia Phillies have entered a critical MLB offseason in which they must improve their roster if they want to have any chance of contending next year.
Running it back is not an option, and the Phillies will have to spend.
But while Philadelphia absolutely needs to make some changes, one player the Phillies should be very open to retaining is Luis Arraez.
Philadelphia acquired Arraez at the MLB trade deadline and watched as the three-time batting champion transformed its lineup.
Arraez's individual numbers in Philly (.278/.309/.369) weren't great, but the effect he had on his teammates was palpable.
So when Arraez suffered an ankle injury just before the playoffs, it was a devastating blow to the Phillies' chances.
Now, the 29-year-old is a free agent, and many are wondering if Philadelphia will be able to keep the lifetime .316 hitter.
The bad news? Keith Law of The Athletic just projected Arraez's contract to be well north of what the Phillies are probably willing to offer: four years and $120 million.
That is a boatload of money for a guy who played 2026 on a one-year, $12 million pact he signed with the San Francisco Giants last winter, and for a Philadelphia squad that is already laced with dicey contracts, it's likely too much.
Arraez, for all his faults (like questionable defense and a lack of power), is a terrific player. He is a career .347 hitter with runners in scoring position. He barely strikes out. He smacked 33 doubles while driving in 64 runs this past season.
The lefty slugger is a perfect table setter for power bats like Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper, and his presence at the top of the Phillies' lineup for a full 162-game campaign would be huge.
But given Arraez's age (he turns 30 in April) and inability to get on base outside of base hits (he walked just 34 times in 2026), Philadelphia will almost surely draw the line somewhere.
I actually do find it hard to believe that Arraez will get $30 million annually over four years from any team, but perhaps there will be a much stronger market for him this time around.
And if it does come to that, the Phillies' options will be very thin.
Brandon Lowe just received the qualifying offer from the Pittsburgh Pirates, so he's probably out. Sure, Bryson Stott can easily move back over to second base, but then what happens at the hot corner with Alec Bohm hitting the open market?
If Arraez really does have such a lucrative market, Philadelphia will be in a whole lot of trouble.
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