Oct 29, 2026 8:30 PM
Iowa State is preparing for a major Big 12 game against No. 24 Oklahoma State, and there's a few reasons to believe the Cyclones can come out with a victory.
Iowa State is a heavy underdog against No. 24 Oklahoma State on Saturday evening, but that's exactly how Jimmy Rogers and Co. want it to be.
For the Cyclones to win the game, they will need these three things to happen.
Aiden Flora leads the ground game
One of the Cyclones' biggest advantages is running back Aiden Flora. He has rushed for 716 yards and six touchdowns this season, making him one of Iowa State's most important offensive weapons. Flora's ability to gain yards on the ground could help Iowa State control the pace of the game.
Flora will have to be effective early to keep Oklahoma State's defense from focusing entirely on the passing game. If he finds running lanes and consistently moves the chains, the Cyclones can put together longer drives, keep their defense rested and create opportunities to score.
Home field advantage comes through
Playing in front of what could be a raucous Jack Trice Stadium crowd gives the Cyclones another reason to believe they can compete with Oklahoma State. The home crowd is going to provide energy throughout the game, especially during important third downs and late-game situations .
Iowa State has also won its last two meetings against Oklahoma State at home (2021, 2023). That history has given something to build on heading into this matchup. They will need to use the crowd's energy to play with confidence and prevent the Cowboys from taking control early.
Winning the turnover battle
Oklahoma State has an explosive offense, averaging 40 points and 529.1 total yards per game. Iowa State simply can't afford careless mistakes. Instead, the Cyclones will have to protect the ball and look for more opportunities to get turnovers for their offense.
Iowa State has only three fumbles this season, while Oklahoma State has lost five. If the Cyclones continue taking care of the football and force the Cowboys to cough the football up, it can give the offense enough time to put together a possession or two to stay close.
The defense must also find ways to get to the quarterback, Drew Mestemaker, and take away his opportunity to connect with his receivers downfield.
Final Thoughts
Iowa State is facing a difficult opponent. There's no doubt about that because of how fast Oklahoma State can score. However, a productive outing from Aiden Flora can change the dynamic oif the game. The energy of the home crowd and a strong showing will turn into an turnover battle and this will give the Cyclones a path to winning the game
The Cyclones will have to execute fast in all three phases and make the most of their scoring opportunities. If they can do that, Iowa State has a chance to make this Big 12 game much closer than people anticipate.
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