Despite recent setbacks, CBS Sports projects Texas A&M safely above the bubble, controlling its March Madness destiny.
With Selection Sunday just weeks away, the margin for error is shrinking across college basketball.
For Texas A&M, the question isn’t panic - it’s positioning.
According to CBS Sports’ latest NCAA Tournament bubble analysis, the Aggies fall squarely into the category of teams that “should be in” the 2026 NCAA Tournament.
That label carries weight. CBS Sports’ evaluation factors in predictive models, resume-based metrics like NET rankings, and bracket projections, and Texas A&M continues to grade out safely above the cut line.
Even after consecutive losses to Alabama and Florida—two of the SEC’s elite, the Aggies remain in strong shape for an at-large bid.
Forecast models still give Texas A&M an 80 percent or better chance of hearing its name called on Selection Sunday, assuming the Aggies don’t need the SEC Tournament as a lifeline.
Projections also suggest A&M is on pace to reach at least 21 regular-season wins, a benchmark that historically puts teams in solid tournament territory.
Context matters, too. The SEC is shaping up as one of the deepest leagues in the country, and Texas A&M is currently projected as one of as many as nine conference teams headed for March Madness.
While the Aggies sit around the middle of that SEC pack, CBS Sports notes there is a noticeable separation between A&M and teams chasing from behind - most notably Texas - which strengthens the Aggies’ body of work.
That doesn’t mean the work is done. A&M’s remaining schedule still offers opportunities to firm up its standing or invite unnecessary stress. Upcoming games, starting with Missouri, will matter not just for wins and losses, but for maintaining momentum and avoiding the dreaded “work to do” category.
Still, the overall message from CBS Sports is clear ... Texas A&M controls its own destiny. The Aggies have built enough equity over the course of the season that a short skid hasn’t derailed their NCAA Tournament outlook. If they take care of business down the stretch, March Madness should be waiting.