Arch Manning battles early Heisman odds after a breakout sophomore year, showcasing dual-threat prowess and leading Texas toward title contention.
Heading into the 2026 college football season, the national conversation around individual honors is already heating up — and Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning finds himself squarely in that spotlight.
While Notre Dame’s CJ Carr opened as the early favorite for the 2026 Heisman Trophy at +700 odds, Manning isn’t far behind, listed at +800 at BetMGM — making him one of the top contenders in the country.
Manning’s journey to this moment has been a roller coaster. After entering 2025 as one of the most hyped prospects in college football, expectations were sky-high for his sophomore season. A tough opening stretch, including a loss to Ohio State, tempered the early Heisman talk, but Manning’s growth as the year progressed was unmistakable.
His arm talent, improved decision-making and dual-threat ability flashed frequently and showed why the Longhorns believe he can be at the center of Texas’ title ambitions.
Although the preseason Heisman board currently lists CJ Carr as the favorite, Manning’s +800 position underscores that sportsbooks and bettors still see him as a serious threat. His combination of size, athleticism and football IQ — rooted in one of the most storied quarterback families in history — gives him a unique appeal that transcends the usual statistical expectations.
The 21-year-old star QB finished 2025 with 3163 passing yards and 26 touchdowns on just seven interceptions. He was also able to show his scrambling ability with an impressive 399 yards and 10 touchdowns on the ground.
After posting a strong finish in 2025, highlighted by key performances and a signature bowl win over Michigan, Texas is poised to take the next step with Manning firmly leading the offense. His presence atop early Heisman oddsboards mirrors the Horns’ national stature heading into 2026, with the program also opening with competitive national championship odds.
Manning’s offseason gives Longhorns supporters plenty to be excited about. With another year to refine his game, deepen his chemistry with the offense, and lead Texas into one of the nation’s most challenging schedules, expectations are high. Should he stay healthy and continue his upward trajectory, a Heisman Trophy push in 2026 could very well be within reach — and it would be a milestone moment for both one of college football’s brightest young stars and the Longhorns program as a whole.