Since being taken No. 1 overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, the expectations have been high for Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence. When he was drafted out of Clemson many fans began to have dreams of Lawrence becoming the first Jacksonville quarterback to lead the team to its first Super Bowl in franchise history.

Entering his sixth season in the NFL, Lawrence has yet to lead the Jaguars to the Super Bowl. His first four seasons were mired with coaching changes and injuries, resulting in a winning percentage of just .367 in 60 games started and just one playoff appearance (2022). After yet another coaching change to begin the 2025 season and a 5-4 start, questions about whether or not Lawrence could be the quarterback to lead the Jaguars to their first Super Bowl became louder.

However, following a 36-29 loss to the Houston Texans, Lawrence and first-year head coach Liam Coen’s offense clicked. 

In the final eight games of the regular season Lawrence became a bona-fide NFL MVP candidate by leading the Jaguars to eight consecutive wins and an AFC South Division title with an overall record of 13-4. 

During that streak, Lawrence improved his completion percentage from 58 percent to 63 percent, increased his average passing yards per game from 222 to 251.1 and bettered his passing touchdown rate per game from 1.11 to 2.38. Down the stretch he had six games with two or more passing touchdowns and only three games in which he threw an interception, compared to just two games throwing for two or more touchdowns and six games in which he threw an interception through the first nine games of the season.

The Jaguars’ impressive season would eventually come to an end thanks to a 27-24 loss to the Buffalo Bills in the Wild Card round, but with Lawrence’s ascension to being one of the league’s elite quarterbacks and another year in Coen’s high-scoring offense, the expectations are high once again.

While the wait for a Super Bowl appearance continues this season for Jacksonville, Lawrence will be in the middle of a prime window for quarterbacks notching their first Super Bowl victories.

Currently 26, Lawrence will turn 27 during the 2026 season on Oct. 6. Since the first Super Bowl in 1967, eight different quarterbacks have hoisted the Lombardi Trophy at the age of 27. Of those eight winning quarterbacks, five won their first Super Bowl as a 27-year-old. Bob Griese of the Miami Dolphins was the first to win in Super Bowl VIII, followed by Brett Favre (Super Bowl XXXI), Eli Manning (Super Bowl XLII), Aaron Rodgers (Super Bowl XLV) and Jalen Hurts (Super Bowl LIX). 

Like Lawrence, the last three to win their first Super Bowl title at the age of 27–Manning (2006), Rogers (2009) and Hurts (2023)–all suffered Wild Card round defeats in the season prior to winning it all. 

If Lawrence and the Jaguars are unable to reach Super Bowl LXI at the end of this season, the window to join the elite will still be wide open during his age 28 season. Four different quarterbacks won their first Super Bowl at the age of 28–Kurt Warner (Super Bowl XXXIV), Trent Dilfer (Super Bowl XXXV), Joe Flacco (Super Bowl XLVII) and last year’s winning quarterback Sam Darnold (Super Bowl LX).

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