Oct 28, 2026 9:00 PM
This would be a tough break for the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Philadelphia Phillies are in dire need for outfield help, as there is no way they can head into 2026 with that position group as currently constructed.
Brandon Marsh fell off a cliff during the second half of the season, Justin Crawford is still a mystery and Bryan De La Cruz and Derek Hill are both best served as bench players.
That's why the Phillies are expected to be big players in the outfield market this winter, and there are a couple of names that already stand out.
One of them is Randy Arozarena, who just completed a brilliant season with the Seattle Mariners in which he slashed .281/.381/.484 with 26 home runs and 79 RBI.
But will Philadelphia be able to afford Arozarena?
The general consensus is that the 31-year-old will secure a contract worth in the neighborhood of $100 million this offseason, which is already questionable for an aging player who doesn't play good defense and owns a solid, but not elite, lifetime .792 OPS.
Then, you have Jim Bowden of The Athletic's projection, with the former MLB general manager prediction Arozarena to bag a five-year, $124 million contract.
That seems like overkill for the veteran, who is just two years removed from batting .238 with a .426 slugging percentage. Nevertheless, Bowden clearly feels a bidding war will ensue, which would, in turn, drive up the price for Arozarena.
Would the Phillies make a move at that cost?
Philadelphia already has a handful of terrible contracts on its payroll. Trea Turner, Aaron Nola and J.T. Realmuto are declining players making far too much money, and the Phillies are also paying a lot of cash toward Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber.
Bowden's prognostication would put Arozarena right around $25 million annually, which is a whole lot for a player whose barrel rate and hard-hit rate both plummeted in 2026, and his xBA (.258) and xSLG (.419) were considerably lower than his actual numbers.
Don't get me wrong: Arozarena has always been a solid hitter, and he has a terrific playoff track record. He also brings good speed to the table, having stolen a combined 57 bases out of 71 attempts the last two seasons.
But Arozarena turns 32 years old in February, so a five-year deal would take him through his age-37 campaign. The last thing the Phillies want is another albatross contract on their books, so they would certainly have to think twice about signing Arozarena if that does indeed end up being the price.
The problem? Outside of Seiya Suzuki or a surprise trade, Philadelphia may not have any other choice.
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